COVID-19 in VA: Statistically Speaking You’re Very Unlikely to Be “A Statistic”

Stuart Revercomb

After TWO MONTHS of government imposed economic shutdown the VA Dept of Health and the John’s Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center confirm that as of today there are:

– 170 confirmed cases of Covid-19 in the Roanoke Valley.

–  Zero deaths. (Source: VDH. Although recent news reports indicate that 10 individuals may have died due to Covid-19 complications at a local retirement home.)

–  20,256 confirmed cases of Covid-19 in the entire state of VA (pop; 8,600,000). Almost 80% of which are in Northern VA, Richmond and the Tidewater Area.

–  713 deaths statewide. 84% of which involve patients in retirement facilities or hospitals. Leaving 107 others who likely had a precondition of some kind that contributed at least partially to their demise. Additionally, ALL patients testing positive for Covid-19 receive a “cause of death” as such regardless of any other condition including cancer, respiratory illness, heart disease etc.

Given these statistics and the economic / societal toll a few common sense deductions might be made:

– 99.9% of citizens in the Roanoke Valley effectively have a ZERO % chance of dying from Covid-19. Unless you count the deaths caused by the shutdown due to the lack of elected surgeries and other obvious impacts relative to child / spousal abuse, drug abuse and suicide.

– presently the average State of VA resident has a .0082 percent chance of dying from Covid-19, meaning we are about 10 times more likely to die in an auto accident.

– a one size fits all counties / cities response to the virus is now beyond poor judgement and bordering on malfeasance.

Contact your Governor and State Representative.

Tell them Common Sense sent you.

Stuart Revercomb